Simulator vs Optimizer

DFS Simulation.
Built for Tournaments.

Simulate the field. Not the constraints.

The Difference

Same inputs. Different output.

Both tools take projections, salary, and slot rules. What they hand back is where they diverge.

Optimizers
Best for Small Field Tournaments
Finds the highest-projection lineup that fits your salary cap, slot, and stack rules.
  • Ranks lineups by projected points.
  • Sees your rules. Doesn't see the field.
  • Can't predict how often a lineup gets duplicated.
Simulators
Best for Large Field Tournaments
Tests every lineup against 50,000 simulated contest fields to see how often it finishes on top.
  • Ranks lineups by Top-5% finish rate.
  • Models the field, including projected ownership.
  • Predicts expected duplicates per lineup.
What Simulation Buys You

The number an optimizer can't give you.

Top-5% Finish Rate

Rank by simulated finish.

Two lineups projected at 145 points can have wildly different odds of a Top-5% finish once you account for ownership, variance, and the field. ETC ranks every lineup by its Top-5% finish rate, the metric that separates tournament builds from the pack.

An optimizer can rank by projection. Only a simulator ranks by simulated finish.

ETC Lineups ranked by Top-5% finish rate
[ Lineups ranked by Top-5% ]
The Methodology Gap

What only a simulator can compute.

Every capability below requires modeling the contest field or modeling player outcome distributions. Without that, you have an optimizer.

01How Lineups Are Scored
Capability
Optimizers
ETC
Sum of projected points
Top-5% finish rate per lineup
Field-adjusted value versus a realistic field
02Modeling the Contest Field
Capability
Optimizers
ETC
Simulates a field of opposing lineups
Predicts expected duplicate count per lineup
Field-aware leverage and exposure
03Modeling Player Variance
Capability
Optimizers
ETC
Treats projection as a point estimate
Models each player as an outcome distribution
Outputs per-lineup ceiling, floor, and Sim Score
EAT THE CHALK.
But only the best.
Try for $1Log In